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Red49
543416.1
327718.5
297711.2
Blue90
779719.1
327641.6
423918.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions519701504990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3277
#35
18.50.2
20.320.1
Auto9.8
Teleop6.8
End1.9
blue by 23.1
41.60.5
45.145.6
Auto11.0
Teleop25.4
End5.2
Second
5434
#36
16.10.2
18.318.1
Auto7.4
Teleop7.6
End1.1
blue by 3.0
7797
#25
19.10.5
18.018.5
Auto5.9
Teleop10.6
End2.6
Third
2977
#31
11.20.2
13.213.0
Auto2.4
Teleop7.0
End1.8
blue by 6.9
4239
#24
18.20.5
19.620.1
Auto7.3
Teleop8.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed60%Ensemble oddsEarned