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Red84
329324.2
181629.9
327641.6
Blue81
517226.1
534824.5
205226.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117880501001502008481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.61.2
46.445.2
Auto11.0
Teleop25.4
End5.2
red by 15.0
2052
#18
26.60.8
30.129.4
Auto9.1
Teleop15.1
End2.4
Second
1816
#20
29.91.2
31.430.1
Auto10.1
Teleop19.1
End0.7
red by 3.8
5172
#19
26.10.8
27.226.4
Auto7.6
Teleop16.5
End1.9
Third
24.21.2
24.923.6
Auto4.7
Teleop13.4
End6.2
blue by 0.3
5348
#12
24.50.8
25.424.6
Auto9.0
Teleop13.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
83%Ensemble oddsEarned66%Ensemble oddsEarned