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Red89
543416.1
472836.6
301822.3
Blue81
569025.6
253034.5
604521.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79910501502002508981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.60.8
35.536.3
Auto12.8
Teleop20.1
End3.6
red by 2.0
2530
#14
34.50.0
33.233.2
Auto12.5
Teleop20.2
End1.9
Second
22.30.8
20.821.6
Auto8.6
Teleop10.4
End3.3
blue by 3.3
25.60.0
25.125.2
Auto10.6
Teleop12.7
End2.3
Third
5434
#36
16.10.8
16.617.4
Auto7.4
Teleop7.6
End1.1
blue by 5.5
6045
#28
21.60.0
22.522.5
Auto8.7
Teleop10.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned76%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed