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Red79
725728.1
301822.3
534824.5
Blue87
472836.6
460738.3
297711.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions681020501507987

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.10.9
24.825.7
Auto8.3
Teleop14.4
End5.4
blue by 10.2
38.30.5
38.037.4
Auto12.2
Teleop21.9
End4.2
Second
5348
#12
24.51.2
22.924.0
Auto9.0
Teleop13.0
End2.4
blue by 12.1
36.60.5
31.831.3
Auto12.8
Teleop20.1
End3.6
Third
22.30.9
18.118.9
Auto8.6
Teleop10.4
End3.3
red by 11.1
2977
#31
11.20.5
18.517.9
Auto2.4
Teleop7.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
73%Ensemble oddsEarned30%Ensemble oddsMissed