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Red101
460738.3
614739.0
212935.8
Blue100
253034.5
329324.2
472836.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12910150150200101100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.00.3
39.038.8
Auto11.8
Teleop19.8
End7.4
red by 2.5
36.60.1
36.336.4
Auto12.8
Teleop20.1
End3.6
Second
38.30.3
38.338.1
Auto12.2
Teleop21.9
End4.2
red by 3.8
2530
#14
34.50.1
34.334.4
Auto12.5
Teleop20.2
End1.9
Third
2129
#15
35.80.3
36.135.8
Auto12.7
Teleop21.3
End1.8
red by 11.6
24.20.1
24.024.1
Auto4.7
Teleop13.4
End6.2