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Red22
433010.4
132911.3
68173.9
Blue42
33979.2
674413.8
450022.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325802040801002242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1329
#26
11.30.7
12.211.5
Auto2.0
Teleop9.1
End0.2
blue by 11.1
4500
#11
22.40.5
24.824.4
Auto5.0
Teleop16.3
End1.1
Second
4330
#24
10.40.7
13.813.1
Auto2.8
Teleop6.8
End0.8
blue by 3.4
13.80.5
14.113.6
Auto3.3
Teleop9.5
End1.1
Third
6817
#23
3.90.7
6.05.3
Auto2.0
Teleop1.2
End0.7
blue by 5.2
3397
#22
9.20.5
10.510.0
Auto7.3
Teleop1.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed