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Red67
99969.5
425612.4
120826.6
Blue79
940130.0
752520.8
170645.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions421170501001506779

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1208
#14
26.60.5
26.126.5
Auto8.4
Teleop17.7
End0.5
blue by 18.8
45.40.4
45.745.3
Auto12.7
Teleop27.5
End5.2
Second
4256
#12
12.40.5
11.912.3
Auto6.4
Teleop5.8
End0.2
blue by 17.6
30.00.4
30.329.9
Auto12.2
Teleop15.5
End2.3
Third
9996
#13
9.50.8
8.69.4
Auto0.8
Teleop8.2
End0.2
blue by 11.3
7525
#20
20.80.4
21.120.7
Auto10.2
Teleop8.8
End1.8