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Red58
639120.6
87194.9
33979.2
Blue46
450022.4
99918.5
807712.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36440204060805846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.60.3
20.020.2
Auto10.8
Teleop7.8
End2.1
blue by 1.8
4500
#11
22.40.1
22.122.2
Auto5.0
Teleop16.3
End1.1
Second
3397
#22
9.20.3
8.58.8
Auto7.3
Teleop1.5
End0.3
blue by 2.9
8077
#17
12.10.1
11.711.8
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End2.5
Third
4.90.3
4.24.5
Auto3.7
Teleop0.1
End1.1
blue by 3.6
9991
#21
8.50.2
7.98.1
Auto2.5
Teleop4.9
End0.8