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Red62
432919.9
71176.5
642431.6
Blue35
450022.4
99918.5
807712.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684202060801001206235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.1
31.731.8
Auto9.8
Teleop19.4
End2.4
red by 9.2
4500
#11
22.40.2
22.622.4
Auto5.0
Teleop16.3
End1.1
Second
4329
#15
19.90.1
20.020.1
Auto5.0
Teleop12.9
End2.1
red by 7.8
8077
#17
12.10.2
12.312.1
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End2.5
Third
7117
#18
6.50.1
6.66.7
Auto3.6
Teleop1.0
End1.9
blue by 2.0
9991
#21
8.50.3
8.88.5
Auto2.5
Teleop4.9
End0.8