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Red105
580932.6
512620.9
476633.5
Blue70
580133.7
176425.0
882523.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9691608012014010570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.3
33.133.5
Auto14.4
Teleop17.2
End1.8
blue by 0.3
5801
#13
33.70.3
34.033.7
Auto12.4
Teleop19.9
End1.4
Second
32.60.3
32.232.6
Auto8.0
Teleop22.6
End1.9
red by 7.6
25.00.3
25.225.0
Auto7.9
Teleop14.8
End2.2
Third
5126
#30
20.90.3
20.620.9
Auto9.0
Teleop11.8
End0.1
blue by 2.3
8825
#18
23.20.3
23.523.2
Auto7.1
Teleop13.7
End2.4