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Red57
452234.6
199715.8
882523.2
Blue62
176914.6
177512.2
235734.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695601001502005762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.3
32.532.2
Auto12.3
Teleop18.4
End3.9
blue by 0.3
34.90.3
30.831.1
Auto10.8
Teleop19.7
End4.4
Second
8825
#18
23.20.3
17.717.4
Auto7.1
Teleop13.7
End2.4
red by 8.6
1769
#17
14.60.3
11.511.9
Auto4.9
Teleop8.5
End1.2
Third
1997
#21
15.80.3
11.010.7
Auto8.2
Teleop6.7
End0.9
red by 3.6
1775
#35
12.20.3
9.710.0
Auto4.4
Teleop7.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed