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Red77
198217.3
172315.0
545420.1
Blue45
181015.4
234515.8
882523.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49460204060801007745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5454
#19
20.11.2
17.618.8
Auto7.0
Teleop12.9
End0.2
blue by 3.1
8825
#18
23.20.2
17.517.7
Auto7.1
Teleop13.7
End2.4
Second
1982
#10
17.31.2
14.515.7
Auto8.9
Teleop6.5
End1.9
red by 1.5
2345
#27
15.80.2
12.612.8
Auto7.4
Teleop8.3
End0.0
Third
1723
#26
15.01.2
12.113.3
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End2.1
blue by 0.4
1810
#23
15.40.3
12.112.4
Auto9.7
Teleop4.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed