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Red24
199715.8
512620.9
93169.1
Blue69
110829.1
172315.0
44557.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4853204060801002469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5126
#30
20.91.5
18.016.5
Auto9.0
Teleop11.8
End0.1
blue by 8.2
29.11.0
25.626.6
Auto10.2
Teleop16.0
End2.8
Second
1997
#21
15.81.5
11.29.7
Auto8.2
Teleop6.7
End0.9
red by 0.9
1723
#26
15.01.0
12.913.9
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Third
9316
#36
9.12.5
14.912.5
Auto3.1
Teleop5.8
End0.2
red by 1.5
4455
#34
7.61.0
8.89.8
Auto2.8
Teleop3.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed