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Red68
476633.5
193917.5
96268.9
Blue31
180211.6
753117.0
68438.2
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5739020801001206831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.6
28.829.3
Auto14.4
Teleop17.2
End1.8
red by 16.5
7531
#24
17.00.4
17.316.9
Auto8.9
Teleop6.3
End1.8
Second
1939
#16
17.50.6
10.711.3
Auto5.5
Teleop10.4
End1.6
red by 5.9
1802
#41
11.60.7
9.89.1
Auto6.0
Teleop4.8
End0.8
Third
9626
#38
8.90.9
10.211.2
Auto2.7
Teleop5.4
End0.8
red by 0.8
6843
#31
8.20.7
10.49.6
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed