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Red56
297218.2
680513.9
96268.9
Blue53
421315.0
182519.0
245720.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324102060801005653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2972
#20
18.21.9
11.012.9
Auto9.9
Teleop7.1
End1.3
blue by 2.2
2457
#12
20.40.8
12.913.7
Auto9.2
Teleop8.9
End2.3
Second
6805
#37
13.91.9
10.011.8
Auto3.7
Teleop9.2
End1.1
blue by 5.0
1825
#14
19.01.3
13.715.0
Auto6.3
Teleop11.3
End1.4
Third
9626
#38
8.92.5
8.911.5
Auto2.7
Teleop5.4
End0.8
blue by 6.1
4213
#15
15.00.9
9.410.3
Auto6.8
Teleop7.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed