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Red36
706414.1
20017.7
172315.0
Blue49
93169.1
753117.0
184714.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4142253035455055603649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1723
#26
15.00.2
15.815.6
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End2.1
blue by 2.0
7531
#24
17.00.5
16.617.0
Auto8.9
Teleop6.3
End1.8
Second
7064
#32
14.10.3
14.113.8
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End0.7
Level
1847
#33
14.10.5
11.812.3
Auto4.8
Teleop6.8
End2.5
Third
2001
#39
7.70.3
7.67.3
Auto0.6
Teleop6.3
End0.8
blue by 1.4
9316
#36
9.10.6
8.89.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed