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Red63
476633.5
181015.4
495914.3
Blue57
297218.2
176425.0
177512.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696102040801001201406357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.1
32.132.2
Auto14.4
Teleop17.2
End1.8
red by 8.5
25.00.6
24.824.2
Auto7.9
Teleop14.8
End2.2
Second
1810
#23
15.40.1
15.315.4
Auto9.7
Teleop4.9
End0.9
blue by 2.9
2972
#20
18.20.6
18.417.8
Auto9.9
Teleop7.1
End1.3
Third
4959
#22
14.30.1
14.214.3
Auto6.2
Teleop6.6
End1.5
red by 2.1
1775
#35
12.20.6
12.812.2
Auto4.4
Teleop7.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned62%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsEarned