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Red56
68438.2
44557.6
235734.9
Blue41
96268.9
198217.3
20017.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603402040801001205641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.90.2
35.735.9
Auto10.8
Teleop19.7
End4.4
red by 17.6
1982
#10
17.30.2
17.317.5
Auto8.9
Teleop6.5
End1.9
Second
6843
#31
8.20.2
7.98.2
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End0.3
blue by 0.8
9626
#38
8.90.2
8.88.9
Auto2.7
Teleop5.4
End0.8
Third
4455
#34
7.60.2
7.47.6
Auto2.8
Teleop3.4
End1.5
blue by 0.1
2001
#39
7.70.2
7.57.7
Auto0.6
Teleop6.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned27%Ensemble oddsMissed