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Red84
882523.2
176425.0
580133.7
Blue112
476633.5
512620.9
580932.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions909460708010011012013014084112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5801
#13
33.70.0
33.733.8
Auto12.4
Teleop19.9
End1.4
red by 0.3
33.50.3
32.733.1
Auto14.4
Teleop17.2
End1.8
Second
25.00.0
25.025.0
Auto7.9
Teleop14.8
End2.2
blue by 7.6
32.60.3
31.832.2
Auto8.0
Teleop22.6
End1.9
Third
8825
#18
23.20.0
23.323.3
Auto7.1
Teleop13.7
End2.4
red by 2.3
5126
#30
20.90.3
20.220.5
Auto9.0
Teleop11.8
End0.1