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Red110
580932.6
512620.9
476633.5
Blue64
941026.1
180616.5
421315.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions975820408012014016011064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.4
32.232.6
Auto14.4
Teleop17.2
End1.8
red by 7.4
26.10.0
25.825.9
Auto11.2
Teleop13.1
End1.8
Second
32.60.4
31.331.7
Auto8.0
Teleop22.6
End1.9
red by 16.1
1806
#28
16.50.0
16.216.2
Auto4.7
Teleop10.9
End0.9
Third
5126
#30
20.90.4
19.720.1
Auto9.0
Teleop11.8
End0.1
red by 5.9
4213
#15
15.00.0
14.814.8
Auto6.8
Teleop7.2
End1.0