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Red50
178519.9
198728.9
501326.4
Blue36
19978.9
903113.0
774711.2
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593102040805036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.0
19.119.1
Auto9.4
Teleop17.1
End2.4
red by 16.0
9031
#22
13.00.5
11.812.3
Auto4.5
Teleop6.8
End1.7
Second
26.40.0
15.515.5
Auto11.3
Teleop13.4
End1.8
red by 15.2
7747
#25
11.20.5
9.810.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End3.1
Third
1785
#18
19.90.0
15.215.2
Auto4.8
Teleop12.9
End2.3
red by 11.1
1997
#34
8.90.5
10.010.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed