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Red36
459316.0
53127.6
639121.3
Blue66
271819.3
393118.0
245710.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373410203050603666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6391
#10
21.30.3
12.512.8
Auto7.2
Teleop12.7
End1.4
red by 1.9
19.31.7
11.212.9
Auto8.4
Teleop9.6
End1.3
Second
4593
#17
16.00.3
12.512.8
Auto6.8
Teleop6.8
End2.4
blue by 2.1
3931
#33
18.01.7
9.210.8
Auto7.3
Teleop10.2
End0.5
Third
5312
#36
7.60.3
8.48.7
Auto1.5
Teleop5.3
End0.7
blue by 3.0
2457
#15
10.61.7
10.712.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed