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Red90
476620.3
170639.3
17239.1
Blue26
53127.6
642013.3
393118.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493802060809026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.33.9
17.921.8
Auto15.6
Teleop20.0
End3.6
red by 21.3
3931
#33
18.01.7
12.911.1
Auto7.3
Teleop10.2
End0.5
Second
20.33.9
15.519.4
Auto9.2
Teleop8.6
End2.5
red by 7.1
6420
#21
13.31.7
14.412.6
Auto5.2
Teleop7.1
End0.9
Third
1723
#27
9.13.9
9.813.7
Auto1.3
Teleop6.0
End1.8
red by 1.5
5312
#36
7.61.7
8.56.7
Auto1.5
Teleop5.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed