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Red65
198214.5
501326.4
476620.3
Blue66
170639.3
392821.2
245710.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49632040801001206566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.41.6
16.317.9
Auto11.3
Teleop13.4
End1.8
blue by 12.8
39.30.1
25.425.4
Auto15.6
Teleop20.0
End3.6
Second
20.31.6
20.722.3
Auto9.2
Teleop8.6
End2.5
blue by 0.9
3928
#11
21.20.1
15.915.9
Auto5.4
Teleop14.0
End1.9
Third
1982
#19
14.51.6
8.710.3
Auto7.6
Teleop5.4
End1.6
red by 3.9
2457
#15
10.60.1
14.214.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsEarned53%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsEarned