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Red35
271819.3
464620.6
50989.8
Blue6
68236.0
774711.2
76626.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44390206080100120140356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4646
#12
20.60.7
19.618.9
Auto7.7
Teleop11.9
End0.9
red by 9.3
7747
#25
11.23.3
11.68.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End3.1
Second
19.30.7
12.912.1
Auto8.4
Teleop9.6
End1.3
red by 13.2
7662
#35
6.13.3
9.96.6
Auto2.1
Teleop4.0
End-0.1
Third
5098
#20
9.80.7
7.06.3
Auto5.3
Teleop3.5
End1.0
red by 3.8
6823
#30
6.03.3
14.511.2
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed