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Red53
198728.9
19978.9
44557.5
Blue84
392821.2
476620.3
639121.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48602030407080905384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.7
24.825.5
Auto9.4
Teleop17.1
End2.4
red by 7.7
6391
#10
21.31.3
14.315.5
Auto7.2
Teleop12.7
End1.4
Second
1997
#34
8.90.7
9.510.2
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End1.1
blue by 12.4
3928
#11
21.21.3
15.917.2
Auto5.4
Teleop14.0
End1.9
Third
4455
#32
7.50.7
10.511.2
Auto5.0
Teleop1.9
End0.6
blue by 12.9
20.31.3
22.323.6
Auto9.2
Teleop8.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsMissed