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Red47
774711.2
51419.7
271819.3
Blue28
17239.1
245710.6
455015.5
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3647102030406070804728

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.30.9
15.716.6
Auto8.4
Teleop9.6
End1.3
red by 3.8
4550
#16
15.51.4
18.317.0
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End1.6
Second
7747
#25
11.20.9
10.911.8
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End3.1
red by 0.6
2457
#15
10.61.4
12.811.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End0.3
Third
5141
#28
9.70.8
7.58.3
Auto4.8
Teleop3.6
End1.3
red by 0.6
1723
#27
9.11.4
10.08.7
Auto1.3
Teleop6.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed