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Red67
250215.9
372924.7
580119.6
Blue75
501326.4
17239.1
464620.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635302040801006775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3729
#13
24.70.7
20.020.6
Auto11.4
Teleop12.0
End1.2
blue by 1.8
26.42.5
23.726.2
Auto11.3
Teleop13.4
End1.8
Second
19.60.6
21.021.6
Auto10.5
Teleop7.8
End1.3
blue by 0.9
4646
#12
20.62.5
16.719.2
Auto7.7
Teleop11.9
End0.9
Third
2502
#23
15.90.6
14.715.3
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End0.9
red by 6.7
1723
#27
9.12.5
8.711.2
Auto1.3
Teleop6.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed