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Red59
774711.2
44557.5
250215.9
Blue111
170639.3
393118.0
120824.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3183020406010012014059111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2502
#23
15.90.4
16.316.7
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End0.9
blue by 23.4
39.33.0
37.840.8
Auto15.6
Teleop20.0
End3.6
Second
7747
#25
11.20.4
11.311.7
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End3.1
blue by 13.6
24.83.3
17.620.9
Auto7.0
Teleop17.5
End0.2
Third
4455
#32
7.50.4
6.87.2
Auto5.0
Teleop1.9
End0.6
blue by 10.5
3931
#33
18.03.0
13.816.8
Auto7.3
Teleop10.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed