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Red50
642013.3
476620.3
774711.2
Blue36
51419.7
68236.0
580919.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52360204060805036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.30.4
20.319.9
Auto9.2
Teleop8.6
End2.5
red by 1.0
5809
#14
19.30.1
18.919.0
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End1.4
Second
6420
#21
13.30.4
13.212.8
Auto5.2
Teleop7.1
End0.9
red by 3.6
5141
#28
9.70.1
9.69.7
Auto4.8
Teleop3.6
End1.3
Third
7747
#25
11.20.4
11.711.2
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End3.1
red by 5.3
6823
#30
6.00.1
5.96.0
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed