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Red70
198728.9
76626.1
464620.6
Blue36
455015.5
580919.3
501326.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567202040801001201407036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.3
27.928.3
Auto9.4
Teleop17.1
End2.4
red by 2.5
26.40.6
27.126.4
Auto11.3
Teleop13.4
End1.8
Second
4646
#12
20.60.3
19.519.9
Auto7.7
Teleop11.9
End0.9
red by 1.3
5809
#14
19.30.7
20.019.3
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End1.4
Third
7662
#35
6.10.4
4.85.3
Auto2.1
Teleop4.0
End-0.1
blue by 9.4
4550
#16
15.50.6
16.115.5
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End1.6