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Red67
271819.3
372924.7
942818.7
Blue70
455015.5
580919.3
501326.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69674060801001206770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3729
#13
24.70.1
24.524.3
Auto11.4
Teleop12.0
End1.2
blue by 1.8
26.40.2
26.226.4
Auto11.3
Teleop13.4
End1.8
Second
19.30.1
19.119.0
Auto8.4
Teleop9.6
End1.3
Level
5809
#14
19.30.2
19.019.2
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End1.4
Third
9428
#26
18.70.1
18.518.4
Auto5.2
Teleop12.3
End1.1
red by 3.1
4550
#16
15.50.2
15.315.4
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End1.6