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Red58
392821.2
250215.9
178519.9
Blue71
642013.3
19978.9
476620.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions664102060801001205871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#11
21.20.0
21.221.2
Auto5.4
Teleop14.0
End1.9
red by 0.9
20.30.5
19.720.1
Auto9.2
Teleop8.6
End2.5
Second
1785
#18
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto4.8
Teleop12.9
End2.3
red by 6.7
6420
#21
13.30.5
12.613.0
Auto5.2
Teleop7.1
End0.9
Third
2502
#23
15.90.0
15.915.9
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End0.9
red by 7.0
1997
#34
8.90.5
8.28.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End1.1