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Red61
501326.4
580919.3
455015.5
Blue75
464620.6
76626.1
198728.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70530204060801001201406175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.0
26.426.3
Auto11.3
Teleop13.4
End1.8
blue by 2.5
28.90.6
27.227.7
Auto9.4
Teleop17.1
End2.4
Second
5809
#14
19.30.0
19.219.1
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End1.4
blue by 1.3
4646
#12
20.60.6
18.819.3
Auto7.7
Teleop11.9
End0.9
Third
4550
#16
15.50.0
15.415.4
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End1.6
red by 9.4
7662
#35
6.10.7
3.94.6
Auto2.1
Teleop4.0
End-0.1