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Qual 172024 St. Louis Regional
Red9
19395.5
50455.1
11788.2
Blue47
278321.7
71179.1
128814.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3548020406080100947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1178
#44
8.22.7
11.7→8.9
Auto2.2
Teleop4.8
End1.2
blue by 13.5
2783
#16
21.70.3
24.1→24.4
Auto7.7
Teleop10.6
End3.3
Second
1939
#43
5.52.7
15.0→12.2
Auto3.0
Teleop1.2
End1.3
blue by 8.8
1288
#22
14.40.6
10.2→10.8
Auto5.4
Teleop7.2
End1.7
Third
5045
#41
5.12.7
7.0→4.2
Auto2.0
Teleop2.8
End0.3
blue by 3.9
7117
#28
9.10.6
7.6→8.2
Auto5.0
Teleop2.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned