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Red45
132912.3
74967.9
328418.8
Blue42
807714.6
68177.3
940117.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374220305060704542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3284
#23
18.80.4
14.815.2
Auto5.5
Teleop13.1
End0.2
red by 0.9
9401
#12
17.90.3
13.413.1
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End2.2
Second
1329
#14
12.30.7
13.614.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End0.0
blue by 2.4
8077
#20
14.60.3
14.314.0
Auto4.7
Teleop7.1
End2.9
Third
7496
#30
7.90.7
5.86.4
Auto2.6
Teleop3.5
End1.7
red by 0.6
6817
#39
7.30.3
9.79.4
Auto2.7
Teleop3.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed