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Red99
175644.2
418717.3
132912.3
Blue33
50455.1
71179.1
425616.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66300204060801001209933

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.22.5
36.438.8
Auto13.3
Teleop25.2
End5.7
red by 28.1
4256
#19
16.10.4
14.313.9
Auto8.4
Teleop6.7
End1.0
Second
4187
#25
17.33.7
10.814.5
Auto5.6
Teleop10.8
End0.9
red by 8.2
7117
#28
9.10.4
8.68.2
Auto5.0
Teleop2.0
End2.1
Third
1329
#14
12.33.7
8.512.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End0.0
red by 7.1
5045
#41
5.10.4
8.68.2
Auto2.0
Teleop2.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
39%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed