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Red75
87194.0
71179.1
173235.6
Blue37
49319.4
19395.5
425616.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493901001502002503003504007537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.61.6
31.633.2
Auto11.0
Teleop21.0
End3.6
red by 19.4
4256
#19
16.11.3
15.914.6
Auto8.4
Teleop6.7
End1.0
Second
7117
#28
9.12.7
7.410.1
Auto5.0
Teleop2.0
End2.1
blue by 0.3
4931
#26
9.41.3
10.49.0
Auto4.3
Teleop3.0
End2.1
Third
8719
#36
4.01.6
4.56.1
Auto2.6
Teleop1.0
End0.4
blue by 1.5
1939
#43
5.51.3
10.69.3
Auto3.0
Teleop1.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned