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Red50
741712.9
674414.7
93123.5
Blue56
807714.6
132912.3
381418.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454530405060705056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
931
#7
23.51.1
16.617.7
Auto7.5
Teleop13.3
End2.8
red by 4.7
3814
#15
18.81.6
15.216.8
Auto9.1
Teleop8.5
End1.3
Second
6744
#29
14.71.1
12.413.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End1.9
Level
8077
#20
14.61.6
11.813.5
Auto4.7
Teleop7.1
End2.9
Third
7417
#17
12.90.6
11.512.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.0
End2.1
red by 0.6
1329
#14
12.31.6
14.416.0
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed