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Red40
942816.7
425616.1
74528.7
Blue40
11788.2
51479.1
903115.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48320204060804040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9428
#32
16.7
Auto3.1
Teleop11.5
End2.1
red by 1.3
9031
#13
15.4
Auto6.4
Teleop6.1
End2.9
Second
4256
#19
16.1
Auto8.4
Teleop6.7
End1.0
red by 7.0
5147
#24
9.1
Auto2.8
Teleop5.4
End0.9
Third
7452
#40
8.7
Auto3.9
Teleop4.7
End0.1
red by 0.5
1178
#44
8.2
Auto2.2
Teleop4.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed