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Red32
50606.9
393731.2
71179.1
Blue61
674414.7
253115.8
339710.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6238020801001203261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.22.2
34.632.4
Auto11.8
Teleop16.7
End2.7
red by 15.4
2531
#33
15.80.1
14.414.3
Auto6.8
Teleop7.3
End1.7
Second
7117
#28
9.12.9
9.66.7
Auto5.0
Teleop2.0
End2.1
blue by 5.6
6744
#29
14.70.1
14.013.9
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End1.9
Third
5060
#38
6.93.2
8.75.6
Auto4.1
Teleop2.1
End0.8
blue by 3.6
3397
#27
10.40.1
8.68.5
Auto6.7
Teleop3.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned28%Ensemble oddsMissed