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Red86
170649.1
381418.8
393731.2
Blue31
55835.9
807714.6
19395.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124120501001502008631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.10.9
48.948.0
Auto17.1
Teleop26.2
End5.8
red by 34.4
8077
#20
14.60.4
14.715.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.1
End2.9
Second
31.20.9
32.431.6
Auto11.8
Teleop16.7
End2.7
red by 25.3
5583
#45
5.90.4
4.75.1
Auto2.6
Teleop2.4
End0.9
Third
3814
#15
18.81.1
17.616.4
Auto9.1
Teleop8.5
End1.3
red by 13.3
1939
#43
5.50.4
5.05.4
Auto3.0
Teleop1.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
58%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed