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Red70
425616.1
940117.9
253115.8
Blue47
128814.4
747213.1
68177.3
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54330204060807047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9401
#12
17.91.2
16.017.3
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End2.2
red by 3.6
1288
#22
14.41.0
13.614.6
Auto5.4
Teleop7.2
End1.7
Second
4256
#19
16.11.4
15.416.8
Auto8.4
Teleop6.7
End1.0
red by 3.1
7472
#21
13.11.0
12.113.1
Auto5.8
Teleop4.6
End2.6
Third
2531
#33
15.81.1
14.715.8
Auto6.8
Teleop7.3
End1.7
red by 8.5
6817
#39
7.31.0
6.37.3
Auto2.7
Teleop3.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed