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Red116
175644.2
128814.4
170649.1
Blue69
432925.8
278321.7
623712.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12956010015020011669

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.10.2
49.149.3
Auto17.1
Teleop26.2
End5.8
red by 23.3
25.80.2
25.625.8
Auto9.6
Teleop14.8
End1.3
Second
44.20.2
44.344.4
Auto13.3
Teleop25.2
End5.7
red by 22.5
2783
#16
21.70.2
21.521.7
Auto7.7
Teleop10.6
End3.3
Third
1288
#22
14.40.2
14.414.6
Auto5.4
Teleop7.2
End1.7
red by 2.0
6237
#37
12.40.2
12.212.4
Auto5.6
Teleop6.2
End0.5