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Red58
623712.4
278321.7
432925.8
Blue110
173235.6
393731.2
253115.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions629520408012014016058110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.0
25.825.8
Auto9.6
Teleop14.8
End1.3
blue by 9.8
35.60.4
35.535.9
Auto11.0
Teleop21.0
End3.6
Second
2783
#16
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto7.7
Teleop10.6
End3.3
blue by 9.5
31.20.4
31.131.5
Auto11.8
Teleop16.7
End2.7
Third
6237
#37
12.40.0
12.412.4
Auto5.6
Teleop6.2
End0.5
blue by 3.4
2531
#33
15.80.4
15.716.1
Auto6.8
Teleop7.3
End1.7