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Red60
29318.9
181123.1
540123.6
Blue107
127922.1
518128.0
140333.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions688840608010012014060107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5401
#31
23.60.3
22.722.4
Auto12.3
Teleop8.8
End2.5
blue by 9.3
33.00.3
28.428.7
Auto11.0
Teleop20.3
End1.6
Second
1811
#51
23.10.3
23.423.2
Auto10.6
Teleop10.1
End2.3
blue by 4.9
5181
#15
28.00.3
27.127.4
Auto8.8
Teleop16.6
End2.6
Third
293
#60
18.90.3
17.817.5
Auto10.3
Teleop9.6
End-1.0
blue by 3.2
22.10.3
21.822.1
Auto7.3
Teleop12.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsMissed94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsEarned