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Red95
180737.0
83423.4
457317.4
Blue86
192334.7
314223.6
704520.5
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8077506070901001109586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.01.6
32.534.0
Auto12.6
Teleop21.9
End2.5
red by 2.2
34.71.1
31.932.9
Auto6.9
Teleop24.5
End3.4
Second
834
#41
23.41.6
20.722.2
Auto9.6
Teleop11.4
End2.4
blue by 0.2
3142
#35
23.61.1
17.818.8
Auto5.6
Teleop16.6
End1.4
Third
4573
#57
17.41.6
18.520.1
Auto6.8
Teleop9.3
End1.3
blue by 3.2
7045
#55
20.51.1
20.621.6
Auto6.3
Teleop12.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsEarned39%Ensemble oddsEarned