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Red79
127922.1
21926.2
253932.7
Blue58
901518.6
139137.1
125712.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8751204060801001207958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2539
#16
32.70.2
32.833.0
Auto8.8
Teleop17.8
End6.1
blue by 4.4
1391
#22
37.10.5
22.823.3
Auto10.4
Teleop24.3
End2.4
Second
219
#19
26.20.2
26.526.7
Auto10.6
Teleop14.4
End1.2
red by 7.6
9015
#58
18.60.5
17.618.1
Auto8.8
Teleop9.1
End0.7
Third
22.10.2
15.315.4
Auto7.3
Teleop12.1
End2.7
red by 9.9
1257
#54
12.20.5
9.910.4
Auto4.8
Teleop6.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned33%Ensemble oddsMissed