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Red58
363728.3
121829.2
5623.9
Blue62
518128.0
10217.9
436119.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727040506080901001105862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#23
29.20.5
23.623.1
Auto11.4
Teleop13.3
End4.5
red by 1.2
5181
#15
28.00.1
23.723.7
Auto8.8
Teleop16.6
End2.6
Second
3637
#18
28.30.5
19.418.9
Auto7.8
Teleop18.6
End1.9
red by 8.8
4361
#52
19.50.1
18.918.9
Auto6.5
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Third
56
#50
23.90.5
22.021.5
Auto9.6
Teleop12.4
End1.9
red by 6.0
102
#49
17.90.1
20.520.5
Auto7.5
Teleop9.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsEarned76%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed