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Red61
10335.8
711014.7
901518.6
Blue108
260733.0
180737.0
1123.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71962040608012014061108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#10
35.80.5
33.633.1
Auto11.8
Teleop21.4
End2.6
blue by 1.2
37.01.3
34.035.3
Auto12.6
Teleop21.9
End2.5
Second
9015
#58
18.60.5
18.117.6
Auto8.8
Teleop9.1
End0.7
blue by 14.3
2607
#14
33.01.3
28.529.8
Auto12.1
Teleop17.5
End3.3
Third
7110
#53
14.70.5
15.314.7
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End2.2
blue by 9.1
11
#46
23.81.3
21.122.4
Auto7.8
Teleop11.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsEarned